考虑不确定性因素的虚拟电厂竞标模型

enthep ap er establishesdy namicreliability modelbasedonleastGsq uaresupp ortvectormachinesLSGSVMtop redictthedy namicfailure rateofthetransformer敭Finally asp aseisstudiedtop rovetherationality ofchosenfactorsandmodel敭Theresult calculatedby thep rop p aredwiththatby Markovmethodp roving thattheenlistmentag eisthe imp ortantfactorofinternallatentfailureoftransformerandthetransformerdy namicreliability modelbasedonLSGSVMhas theadvantag esoffastercalculationandhig herrecog nitionofmonitoring information敭 Thisworkissupp ortedby NationalNaturalScienceFoundationofChinaNo敭51107112敭 Key wordsp owertransformerdissolvedg asanaly sisDGA characterizedg ascontentvelocity ofg asp roduction enlistmentag eleastGsq uaresupp ortvectormachinesLSGSVM failureratep rediction — 9 4 —??学术研究??余爽,等考虑不确定性因素的虚拟电厂竞标模型