lweak,eleratedlyinfurther10yearswithnationaldevelopmentplanningandgovernmentmacro-controlandmarketregulation.Thefeasibilityanalysisofthedecouplingofwaterresourceutilizationiscarriedout,fromtheanglesofsocio-politicsandeconomic-technology.Theresultsshow,withthegradualimprovementofwater-useefficiency,thegrowthrateofwaterdemand-eleratedlydeclining-in20112020,theamountofwater-demandis6282×106331.4×10min2015,6614×1086675×108m3in2020and6678.3×1086773×108m3in2030.Thedecouplingtrendeconomicdevelopmentandwaterresourceutilizationwillbestrongabsolutelyin2020,andthestageofwaterconsumptionwillgetintothedecreasedperiod,thenthedecouplingstatusofeconomicdevelopmentandwaterresourceutilizationwillberealized.Keywords:waterresourcemanagement;decouplingtrend;elasticanalysismethod;mechanismanalysis;Logisticmodel
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