计量作业1

2741.9Р378.6Р4741.3Р11.7Р342.2Р355.5Р5465.8Р142.1Р2702.4Р43.3Р783.6Р58.8Р889.2Р220.6Р3523.2Р要求,以手工和运用Eviews软件(或其它软件):Р做出散点图,建立税收随国内生产总值GDP变化的一元线性回归方程,并解释斜率的经济意义;Р对所建立的回归方程进行检验;Р若2008年某地区国内生产总值为8500亿元,求该地区税收入的预测值机预测区间。Р解:下图是运用Eviews软件分析出的结果。РDependent Variable: YРMethod: Least SquaresРDate: 09/17/11 Time: 15:13РSample: 2 32РIncluded observations: 31РVariableРCoefficientРStd. ErrorРt-StatisticРProb. РCР-10.62963Р86.06992Р-0.123500Р0.9026РGDPР0.071047Р0.007407Р9.591245Р0.0000РR-squaredР0.760315Р Mean dependent varР621.0548РAdjusted R-squaredР0.752050Р S.D. dependent varР619.5803РS.E. of regressionР308.5176Р Akaike info criterionР14.36378РSum squared residР2760310.Р Schwarz criterionР14.45629РLog likelihoodР-220.6385Р F-statisticР91.99198РDurbin-Watson statР1.570523Р Prob(F-statistic)Р0.000000